Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionNLNo Limits Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Penguins Squadloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Limits Gaming
Tusk
Zxca · 10 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
JP · 7 games
Doomsignature
drakesh1t · 6 games
Rubicksignature
Zxca · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
drakesh1t · 5 games
Hoodwink
Zxca · 5 games
Snapfire
drakesh1t · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Alone · 4 games
Penguins Squad
Spirit Breakersignature
Crawler · 6 games
Tusk
Ifrit · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Rabish · 4 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Satoshi- · 4 games
Treant Protector
Ifrit · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Ifrit · 3 games
Rubick
Crawler · 3 games
Silenceroften banned
Ifrit · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
735 picks · 613 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 482 bans
Beastmaster
424 picks · 1031 bans
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 979 bans
Doom
399 picks · 666 bans
Tiny
398 picks · 373 bans
Undying
391 picks · 610 bans
Mirana
379 picks · 206 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 38%
Hero pool strength55% No Limits Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% No Limits Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
No Limits Gaming 64%Penguins Squad 36%
The model gave 64% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Limits Gaming · 64%
Series resultNo Limits Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1