Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Not one step back gamingloss 0:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Sigma.YNTwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Not one step back gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Sigma.YNT
Tiny
queezy · 22 games
Rubick
queezy · 18 games
Treant Protector
VANSKOR · 17 games
Doomsignature
kur0patbI4 · 11 games
Beastmastersignature
kur0patbI4 · 10 games
Broodmotheroften banned
kur0patbI4 · 10 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
Skywrath Mage
queezy · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
742 picks · 605 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 476 bans
Beastmaster
423 picks · 1014 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 375 bans
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 967 bans
Doom
394 picks · 643 bans
Undying
389 picks · 604 bans
Mirana
380 picks · 204 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 27%
Hero pool strength50% Sigma.YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Not one step back gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:49
Not one step back gaming 67%Sigma.YNT 33%
The model gave 67% on Not one step back gaming — the game was taken by Sigma.YNT in 1:12:09.
Game 2prediction missed24:41
Not one step back gaming 67%Sigma.YNT 33%
The model gave 67% on Not one step back gaming — the game was taken by Sigma.YNT in 52:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteNot one step back gaming · 67%
Series resultSigma.YNT 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2