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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Block Roar Esportswin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Limits Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Block Roar Esports

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
NaoG · 6 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
NaoG · 2 games
50%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
NaoG · 2 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
NaoG · 1 game
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NaoG · 1 game
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
NaoG · 1 game
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
NaoG · 1 game
100%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
NaoG · 1 game
100%

No Limits Gaming

Tusk
Tusk
Zxca · 10 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
JP · 7 games
57%
Doom
Doomsignature
drakesh1t · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Zxca · 6 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
drakesh1t · 5 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Zxca · 5 games
40%
Snapfire
Snapfire
drakesh1t · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Alone · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
748 picks · 605 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
551 picks · 470 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
421 picks · 1006 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
406 picks · 377 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 947 bans
51%
Doom
Doom
392 picks · 619 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
386 picks · 603 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
383 picks · 205 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Block Roar Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% No Limits Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:41
Block Roar Esports 47%No Limits Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by Block Roar Esports in 41:41.
Game 2prediction missed23:27
Block Roar Esports 47%No Limits Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by Block Roar Esports in 36:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Limits Gaming · 53%
Series resultBlock Roar Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2