Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
chandogswin 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Omega Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
chandogs
No games played over 6 months.
Omega Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
776 picks · 586 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 439 bans
Tiny
441 picks · 377 bans
Nature's Prophet
414 picks · 689 bans
Beastmaster
411 picks · 962 bans
Undying
401 picks · 588 bans
Mirana
388 picks · 207 bans
Ember Spirit
387 picks · 899 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% chandogs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:37
chandogs 43%Omega Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by chandogs in 43:17.
Game 2prediction correct39:13
chandogs 43%Omega Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 30:47.
Game 3prediction missed8:32
chandogs 43%Omega Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by chandogs in 23:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 57%
Series resultchandogs 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3