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ESL One Berlin Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 39 games
69%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
61%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 25 games
72%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 25 games
76%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 24 games
67%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 24 games
83%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 21 game
71%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ace · 18 games
72%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 16 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Tiny
Tiny
Save- · 12 games
58%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 11 games
73%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Nightfall · 9 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1000 picks · 703 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
636 picks · 462 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
574 picks · 925 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
562 picks · 415 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
530 picks · 407 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
526 picks · 369 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
516 picks · 1215 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
499 picks · 385 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:36
Gaimin Gladiators 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerdyrachyo
45% · 131 game52% · 191 game
TerrorbladeNightfall
Terrorblade
Doom
DoomAce
54% · 235 games50% · 329 games
BeastmasterResolut1on
Beastmaster
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightQuinn
47% · 250 games51% · 181 game
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
49% · 322 games48% · 87 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagetOfu
53% · 117 games50% · 267 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Game 2prediction correct26:13
Gaimin Gladiators 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 37:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistdyrachyo
52% · 49 games58% · 162 games
SlarkNightfall
Slark
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
46% · 283 games61% · 196 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordAce
41% · 59 games51% · 54 games
MagnusResolut1on
Magnus
Rubick
RubicktOfu
43% · 371 game48% · 393 games
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Mirana
Silencer
SilencerSeleri
42% · 125 games58% · 82 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2