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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2 Китай. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
iG Vitalityloss 0:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
孤独摇滚win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

iG Vitality

Jakiro
Jakiro
Sj · 12 games
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
ukiyo · 11 games
45%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Ash · 8 games
75%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Sj · 8 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Drink · 7 games
29%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Drink · 7 games
86%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
ukiyo · 6 games
33%

孤独摇滚

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
strawberry · 6 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
strawberry · 4 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dstones · 4 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
strawberry · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
strawberry · 3 games
67%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
strawberry · 2 games
50%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
strawberry · 2 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dstones · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
998 picks · 692 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
642 picks · 476 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
591 picks · 936 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
546 picks · 406 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
539 picks · 418 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
531 picks · 371 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
517 picks · 1209 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
506 picks · 384 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% iG Vitality
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total53% iG Vitality
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
iG Vitality 53%孤独摇滚 47%
The model gave 53% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by 孤独摇滚.
Model check result
Model favoriteiG Vitality · 53%
Series result孤独摇滚 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1