?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 14 games
43%
Tiny
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 13 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 12 games
58%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
DkFogas · 11 games
27%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
forcemajor · 10 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptor
forcemajor · 9 games
44%
Doom
Doomoften banned
zenica · 8 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 8 games
50%

Nemiga Gaming

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 15 games
60%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Hellscream · 13 games
62%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
so bad · 13 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Hellscream · 12 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 11 games
82%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malr1ne · 11 games
73%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
90%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Kiritych · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1000 picks · 697 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
649 picks · 482 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
595 picks · 945 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
540 picks · 402 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
539 picks · 428 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
534 picks · 367 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
515 picks · 1206 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
504 picks · 381 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total71% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:30
cybercats 36%Nemiga Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 41:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaAlberkaaa
little data45% · 159 games
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
Dragon Knight
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
42% · 345 games59% · 55 games
UnderlordCorrupted
Underlord
Sand King
Sand KingDkFogas
57% · 57 games50% · 59 games
Razorv1olent-
Razor
Techies
Techiesjesv
44% · 83 games55% · 55 games
Jakiroso bad
Jakiro
Io
Ioforcemajor
54% · 122 games50% · 279 games
RubickHellscream
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct5:35
cybercats 39%Nemiga Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 32:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaAlberkaaa
little data51% · 21 game
Phantom Lancerv1olent-
Phantom Lancer
Zeus
ZeusChira JUNIOR
52% · 120 games48% · 114 games
TimbersawMalr1ne
Timbersaw
Axe
AxeDkFogas
54% · 16 games44% · 38 games
Sand KingCorrupted
Sand King
Clockwerk
Clockwerkforcemajor
50% · 256 games55% · 63 games
Chenso bad
Chen
Phoenix
Phoenixjesv
49% · 122 games49% · 278 games
SnapfireHellscream
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 71%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2