BETBOOM Streamers Battle 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
Necrophossignature
Stray · 8 games
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 6 games
Tusksignature
Vovapain · 6 games
Sniperoften banned
Stray · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Goodoq · 4 games
Grimstroke
Vovapain · 4 games
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
TpaBoMaH Team
Jakiro
FrostNova · 2 games
Vengeful Spirit
FrostNova · 2 games
Abaddon
Егор · 1 game
Axeoften banned
Егор · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
TpaBoMaH · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Егор · 1 game
Chaos Knight
ChodΣX · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
516 picks · 372 bans
Rubick
377 picks · 226 bans
Clockwerk
371 picks · 651 bans
Tiny
342 picks · 348 bans
Windranger
321 picks · 236 bans
Bane
318 picks · 337 bans
Ember Spirit
306 picks · 443 bans
Pangolier
296 picks · 391 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 47%
Hero pool strength59% Stray Team
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total57% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Stray Team 43%TpaBoMaH Team 57%
The model gave 57% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Stray Team 43%TpaBoMaH Team 57%
The model gave 57% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 57%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2