?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lavawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Mirana
Miranasignature
Nuages · 23 games
74%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 18 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Oscar · 11 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
mini-` · 9 games
78%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Hyko · 8 games
63%

Lava

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
JimmyCoff666 · 11 games
73%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 9 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 8 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
JimmyCoff666 · 4 games
100%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 4 games
75%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
payk · 4 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
drakeel · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
payk · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1006 picks · 700 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
653 picks · 480 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
597 picks · 949 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
544 picks · 433 bans
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
535 picks · 397 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
534 picks · 367 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
513 picks · 1201 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
505 picks · 378 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Lava
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:39
Infamous 46%Lava 54%
The model gave 54% on Lava — the game was taken by Lava in 34:49.
Game 2prediction correct24:10
Infamous 46%Lava 54%
The model gave 54% on Lava — the game was taken by Lava in 26:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteLava · 54%
Series resultLava 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2