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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Evil Geniusesloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 34 games
68%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 23 games
65%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 23 games
83%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 21 game
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 19 games
74%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%

Evil Geniuses

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 25 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Panda · 21 game
71%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Chris Luck · 21 game
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Wisper · 20 games
75%
Riki
Rikisignature
Matthew · 19 games
74%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 18 games
61%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Panda · 16 games
81%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Chris Luck · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1005 picks · 698 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
653 picks · 479 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
596 picks · 951 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
546 picks · 432 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
533 picks · 365 bans
45%
Disruptor
Disruptor
529 picks · 396 bans
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
513 picks · 1199 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
503 picks · 378 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total68% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:14
Gaimin Gladiators 62%Evil Geniuses 38%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 29:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerdyrachyo
44% · 164 games58% · 50 games
GyrocopterPakazs
Gyrocopter
Lycan
LycanAce
52% · 122 games45% · 413 games
SnapfireChris Luck
Snapfire
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
51% · 268 games48% · 549 games
RubickWisper
Rubick
Undying
UndyingSeleri
48% · 391 game47% · 205 games
DoomMatthew
Doom
Disruptor
DisruptortOfu
53% · 378 games57% · 106 games
BanePanda
Bane
Game 2prediction missed27:48
Gaimin Gladiators 60%Evil Geniuses 40%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Evil Geniuses in 40:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingdyrachyo
48% · 158 games55% · 142 games
SlarkPakazs
Slark
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
53% · 262 games52% · 222 games
LeshracWisper
Leshrac
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
41% · 310 games53% · 206 games
Monkey KingChris Luck
Monkey King
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HuntertOfu
71% · 21 game45% · 282 games
EnchantressPanda
Enchantress
Disruptor
DisruptorSeleri
48% · 207 games50% · 106 games
RikiMatthew
Riki
Game 3prediction correct30:7
Gaimin Gladiators 63%Evil Geniuses 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
54% · 329 games47% · 141 game
Drow RangerPakazs
Drow Ranger
Slark
Slarkdyrachyo
55% · 173 games47% · 298 games
PangolierChris Luck
Pangolier
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerAce
50% · 175 games50% · 147 games
EnigmaWisper
Enigma
Disruptor
DisruptortOfu
57% · 387 games45% · 446 games
RubickMatthew
Rubick
Io
IoSeleri
50% · 138 games45% · 170 games
EnchantressPanda
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 68%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3