BetBoom Streamers Battle 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
YBN Teamloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NS Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YBN Team
Disruptor
dabex · 8 games
Hoodwinksignature
KingR · 8 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
XaKoH · 6 games
Crystal Maidensignature
dabex · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
XaKoH · 5 games
Marcioften banned
layme · 4 games
Skywrath Mage
dabex · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
NS Team
Iooften banned
rostislav_999 · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
4ce · 4 games
Juggernautoften banned
LenaGol0vach · 4 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
NS · 3 games
Gyrocopter
NS · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
4ce · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
4ce · 2 games
Disruptor
NS · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
1010 picks · 679 bans
Tiny
658 picks · 479 bans
Nature's Prophet
608 picks · 956 bans
Tusk
558 picks · 439 bans
Snapfire
522 picks · 359 bans
Death Prophet
518 picks · 1171 bans
Disruptor
509 picks · 365 bans
Treant Protector
501 picks · 491 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% YBN Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:44
YBN Team 50%NS Team 50%
The model gave 50% on YBN Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 30:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetDinozavrik
Iorostislav_999
DoomXaKoH
SlarkIllidan
Pangolierybicanoooobov
Dragon Knight4ce
HoodwinkKingR
GyrocopterNS
Disruptordabex
MiranaShkeepeR
Game 2prediction correct14:40
YBN Team 49%NS Team 51%
The model gave 51% on NS Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 27:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaDinozavrik
MorphlingIllidan
Zeusybicanoooobov
Ember Spiritrostislav_999
Primal BeastXaKoH
Dragon Knight4ce
RubickKingR
HoodwinkShkeepeR
Gyrocopterdabex
WarlockNS
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 50%
Series resultNS Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2