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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. ЮВА. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Myth Avenue Gaming

Tusk
Tusksignature
Hishge · 22 games
73%
Mirana
Miranasignature
RR · 15 games
73%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
RR · 13 games
69%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Meracle · 10 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
zeal · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 9 games
67%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
xsilearn · 9 games
78%
Lina
Linasignature
xsilearn · 9 games
89%

BOOM Esports

Tusk
Tusk
xNova · 14 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
xNova · 11 games
64%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 11 games
27%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 9 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Yopaj · 9 games
44%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
xNova · 8 games
63%
Mirana
Mirana
Xepher · 7 games
57%
Rubick
Rubick
Xepher · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1009 picks · 676 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
657 picks · 479 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
608 picks · 956 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
559 picks · 439 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
521 picks · 358 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
518 picks · 1168 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
504 picks · 364 bans
56%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
503 picks · 493 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 60%
Hero pool strength62% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:42
Myth Avenue Gaming 32%BOOM Esports 68%
The model gave 68% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMeracle
52% · 296 games56% · 233 games
Monkey KingNatsumi
Monkey King
Doom
DoomYoungGodLevi
49% · 242 games49% · 165 games
DawnbreakerYopaj
Dawnbreaker
Rubick
Rubickxsilearn
47% · 514 games47% · 47 games
BrewmasterFbz
Brewmaster
Silencer
SilencerPlayHard
47% · 169 games46% · 438 games
SnapfireXepher
Snapfire
57% · 338 games
DisruptorxNova
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct41:42
Myth Avenue Gaming 32%BOOM Esports 68%
The model gave 68% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 1:02:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenMeracle
44% · 171 game55% · 202 games
Nature's ProphetNatsumi
Nature's Prophet
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritxsilearn
48% · 390 games53% · 169 games
Death ProphetYopaj
Death Prophet
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerYoungGodLevi
51% · 114 games54% · 138 games
DoomFbz
Doom
Jakiro
JakiroPlayHard
49% · 121 game50% · 34 games
LionXepher
Lion
49% · 253 games
TuskxNova
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 82%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2