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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dreamerswin 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Limits Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dreamers

No games played over 6 months.

No Limits Gaming

Doom
Doomsignature
drakesh1t · 6 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Alone · 6 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Zxca · 5 games
40%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
JP · 5 games
80%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
CHAAANNN · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
Zxca · 4 games
100%
Silencer
Silencer
CHAAANNN · 4 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
drakesh1t · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1004 picks · 674 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
659 picks · 481 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
607 picks · 957 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
557 picks · 437 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
522 picks · 357 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
516 picks · 1162 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
505 picks · 493 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
502 picks · 362 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 69%
Hero pool strength55% No Limits Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% No Limits Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:24
Dreamers 38%No Limits Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming in 41:35.
Game 2prediction correct29:54
Dreamers 38%No Limits Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming in 47:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Limits Gaming · 62%
Series resultDreamers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2