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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 35 games
69%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 27 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 25 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 22 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 19 games
74%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
47%

Shopify Rebellion

Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 24 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SabeRLight- · 21 game
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 20 games
70%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 19 games
63%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Arteezy · 18 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Cr1t- · 14 games
79%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fly · 13 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
994 picks · 674 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
659 picks · 483 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
604 picks · 950 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
562 picks · 433 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
521 picks · 356 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
516 picks · 1151 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
509 picks · 497 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
496 picks · 352 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:35
Gaimin Gladiators 66%Shopify Rebellion 34%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 43:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
59% · 159 games42% · 130 games
TerrorbladeArteezy
Terrorblade
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
57% · 62 games52% · 149 games
DoomSabeRLight-
Doom
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctordyrachyo
46% · 18 games46% · 229 games
MiranaCr1t-
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerktOfu
55% · 222 games39% · 38 games
Shadow DemonFly
Shadow Demon
Io
IoSeleri
50% · 85 games
Game 2prediction missed11:31
Gaimin Gladiators 59%Shopify Rebellion 41%
The model gave 59% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 30:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAce
50% · 119 games64% · 56 games
Lone DruidArteezy
Lone Druid
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancerdyrachyo
35% · 37 games50% · 147 games
LycanSabeRLight-
Lycan
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
46% · 169 games55% · 455 games
UndyingFly
Undying
Rubick
RubicktOfu
39% · 225 games52% · 110 games
Nyx AssassinCr1t-
Nyx Assassin
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
51% · 218 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 73%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2