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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 34 games
68%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 27 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 24 games
63%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 22 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 20 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 17 games
76%

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 31 game
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 23 games
78%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 18 games
83%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
iNSaNiA · 17 games
88%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
zai · 16 games
81%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
zai · 15 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 15 games
80%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 15 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
994 picks · 674 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
662 picks · 485 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
597 picks · 948 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
560 picks · 436 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
525 picks · 357 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
514 picks · 1142 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
511 picks · 510 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
489 picks · 366 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 72%
Hero pool strength54% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total66% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:13
Gaimin Gladiators 41%Team Liquid 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 25:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlord
UnderlordAce
55% · 85 games45% · 152 games
UrsamiCKe
Ursa
Slark
Slarkdyrachyo
56% · 92 games51% · 243 games
Nature's Prophetzai
Nature's Prophet
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
49% · 382 games51% · 197 games
Dragon KnightNisha
Dragon Knight
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
48% · 253 games40% · 104 games
GrimstrokeiNSaNiA
Grimstroke
Disruptor
DisruptorSeleri
54% · 244 games50% · 360 games
TuskBoxi
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed22:4
Gaimin Gladiators 41%Team Liquid 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 29:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
44% · 152 games52% · 236 games
MorphlingmiCKe
Morphling
Doom
DoomAce
50% · 175 games48% · 299 games
Enchantresszai
Enchantress
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerQuinn
62% · 22 games54% · 160 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Rubick
RubicktOfu
47% · 319 games55% · 112 games
BaneiNSaNiA
Bane
Undying
UndyingSeleri
48% · 252 games50% · 113 games
IoBoxi
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 66%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2