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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
No Limits Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Mirana
Miranasignature
Nuages · 23 games
74%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 18 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Oscar · 11 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
mini-` · 9 games
78%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Hyko · 8 games
63%

No Limits Gaming

Doom
Doomsignature
drakesh1t · 6 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Zxca · 5 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Zxca · 4 games
50%
Silencer
Silencer
CHAAANNN · 4 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
drakesh1t · 4 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
JP · 3 games
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
JP · 3 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
CHAAANNN · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
991 picks · 676 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
662 picks · 486 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
597 picks · 952 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
559 picks · 436 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
527 picks · 355 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
516 picks · 510 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
514 picks · 1141 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
487 picks · 366 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:4
Infamous 53%No Limits Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Infamous — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming in 20:51.
Game 2prediction missed41:26
Infamous 53%No Limits Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Infamous — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming in 37:28.
Game 3prediction missed31:17
Infamous 53%No Limits Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Infamous — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming in 41:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 53%
Series resultNo Limits Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3