DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Team Liquid
Tusksignature
Boxi · 31 game
Rubicksignature
iNSaNiA · 22 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 18 games
Treant Protectorsignature
iNSaNiA · 17 games
Enigmasignature
zai · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 15 games
Tinysignature
Boxi · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
984 picks · 669 bans
Tiny
659 picks · 483 bans
Nature's Prophet
593 picks · 946 bans
Tusk
560 picks · 436 bans
Snapfire
527 picks · 353 bans
Treant Protector
522 picks · 518 bans
Death Prophet
511 picks · 1122 bans
Clockwerk
485 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 75%
Hero pool strength64% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:37
beastcoast 33%Team Liquid 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 30:21.
Game 2prediction correct35:49
beastcoast 33%Team Liquid 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 67%
Accuracy by game2 of 2