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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Северная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
The Oversightwin 2:0
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fart Studiosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

The Oversight

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fata · 7 games
29%
Tiny
Tiny
N1NE · 7 games
43%
Marci
Marcioften banned
MSS · 6 games
17%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
MSS · 6 games
33%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Quinn · 5 games
20%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
YawaR · 5 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
YawaR · 5 games
20%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Fata · 5 games
20%

Fart Studios

Rubick
Rubick
Newsham · 11 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
iAnnihilate · 10 games
40%
Lina
Linasignature
iAnnihilate · 7 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Jenkins · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Sonic · 6 games
83%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
BSJ · 6 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
Newsham · 5 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
BSJ · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
984 picks · 665 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
660 picks · 484 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
592 picks · 943 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
558 picks · 440 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
526 picks · 523 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
524 picks · 353 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
509 picks · 1121 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
484 picks · 358 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 38%
Hero pool strength61% Fart Studios
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Fart Studios
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
The Oversight 40%Fart Studios 60%
The model gave 60% on Fart Studios — the game was taken by The Oversight.
Game 2prediction missed
The Oversight 40%Fart Studios 60%
The model gave 60% on Fart Studios — the game was taken by The Oversight.
Model check result
Model favoriteFart Studios · 60%
Series resultThe Oversight 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2