?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Dreamerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Mirana
Miranasignature
Nuages · 23 games
74%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 18 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Oscar · 11 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
mini-` · 9 games
78%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Hyko · 8 games
63%

Dreamers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
984 picks · 664 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
660 picks · 483 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
592 picks · 943 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
557 picks · 440 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
525 picks · 522 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
523 picks · 351 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
509 picks · 1119 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
483 picks · 358 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:45
Infamous 65%Dreamers 35%
The model gave 65% on Infamous — the game was taken by Dreamers in 36:45.
Game 2prediction missed34:31
Infamous 65%Dreamers 35%
The model gave 65% on Infamous — the game was taken by Dreamers in 44:17.
Game 3prediction missed62:37
Infamous 65%Dreamers 35%
The model gave 65% on Infamous — the game was taken by Dreamers in 55:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 65%
Series resultDreamers 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3