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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Mira · 42 games
69%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 28 games
68%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Mira · 24 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 23 games
83%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Miposhka · 22 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Mira · 19 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 18 games
78%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 18 games
78%

OG

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Taiga · 18 games
61%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 15 games
53%
Tiny
Tiny
Taiga · 12 games
42%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
bzm · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Misha · 11 games
45%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Yuragi · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
DM · 9 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Chuvash · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
974 picks · 663 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
659 picks · 474 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
584 picks · 937 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
555 picks · 439 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
527 picks · 523 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
522 picks · 347 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
505 picks · 1113 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
477 picks · 350 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:9
Team Spirit 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 25:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYatoro
36% · 113 games54% · 235 games
Storm Spiritbzm
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCollapse
53% · 336 games51% · 169 games
SniperYuragi
Sniper
Tiny
TinyLarl
47% · 691 game52% · 272 games
Dragon KnightDM
Dragon Knight
Enchantress
EnchantressMiposhka
51% · 282 games54% · 401 game
MiranaTaiga
Mirana
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMira
50% · 59 games52% · 404 games
MarciChuvash
Marci
Game 2prediction missed18:40
Team Spirit 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by OG in 37:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenYatoro
53% · 82 games52% · 373 games
Nature's ProphetYuragi
Nature's Prophet
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLarl
48% · 383 games50% · 256 games
DoomDM
Doom
Death Prophet
Death ProphetCollapse
49% · 451 game48% · 162 games
Zeusbzm
Zeus
Io
IoMira
54% · 112 games49% · 620 games
RubickTaiga
Rubick
Tusk
TuskMiposhka
49% · 434 games48% · 51 game
Elder TitanChuvash
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2