DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 33 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 26 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 22 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 21 game
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 19 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 18 games
Enchantress
Seleri · 16 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 16 games
Execration
Visageoften banned
Tino- · 27 games
Marcisignature
Shanks · 22 games
Tiny
Shanks · 20 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 18 games
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 16 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Tino- · 13 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Shanks · 9 games
Enigmaoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
969 picks · 662 bans
Tiny
658 picks · 471 bans
Nature's Prophet
581 picks · 938 bans
Tusk
556 picks · 439 bans
Treant Protector
527 picks · 525 bans
Snapfire
522 picks · 347 bans
Death Prophet
505 picks · 1108 bans
Clockwerk
476 picks · 348 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:30
Gaimin Gladiators 50%Execration 50%
The model gave 50% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 30:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerdyrachyo
Templar AssassinBob
Centaur WarrunnerAce
BeastmasterTino-
PangolierQuinn
Monkey KingPalos
EnchantressSeleri
MiranaShanks
Shadow DemontOfu
Game 2prediction correct29:15
Gaimin Gladiators 55%Execration 45%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LeshracQuinn
Dragon KnightPalos
Bristlebackdyrachyo
Outworld DestroyerBob
Dark SeerAce
EnigmaTino-
IoSeleri
RubickShanks
Spirit BreakertOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 57%
Accuracy by game2 of 2