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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 33 games
73%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
81%
Tiny
Tiny
Boxi · 18 games
56%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
zai · 17 games
82%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 17 games
88%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 17 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
iNSaNiA · 17 games
88%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
miCKe · 16 games
81%

OG

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 17 games
59%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 13 games
62%
Tiny
Tiny
Taiga · 12 games
42%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
bzm · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Misha · 11 games
45%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Yuragi · 10 games
50%
Oracle
Oracle
Taiga · 9 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
bzm · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
958 picks · 653 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
657 picks · 463 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
576 picks · 924 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
549 picks · 439 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
527 picks · 528 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
517 picks · 340 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
495 picks · 1090 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
465 picks · 346 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 54%
Hero pool strength64% Team Liquid
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total79% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:24
Team Liquid 69%OG 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 42:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracNisha
56% · 147 games37% · 48 games
Troll WarlordYuragi
Troll Warlord
Bloodseeker
BloodseekermiCKe
54% · 60 games41% · 81 game
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Razor
Razorzai
65% · 73 games49% · 111 games
DoomDM
Doom
Bane
BaneiNSaNiA
52% · 73 games46% · 47 games
TechiesTaiga
Techies
Io
IoBoxi
45% · 69 games50% · 135 games
DisruptorChuvash
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct31:7
Team Liquid 64%OG 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 24:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MagemiCKe
39% · 31 game52% · 46 games
SvenYuragi
Sven
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNisha
50% · 123 games51% · 97 games
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Mars
Marszai
43% · 176 games54% · 223 games
BeastmasterDM
Beastmaster
Enchantress
EnchantressiNSaNiA
44% · 184 games61% · 46 games
TechiesChuvash
Techies
Io
IoBoxi
51% · 84 games54% · 186 games
Monkey KingTaiga
Monkey King
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 79%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2