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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Evil Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 32 games
69%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 21 game
67%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 20 games
75%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 16 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 15 games
67%

Evil Geniuses

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Panda · 17 games
76%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 16 games
63%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 15 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Chris Luck · 14 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 14 games
50%
Riki
Rikisignature
Matthew · 13 games
85%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 13 games
54%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Panda · 12 games
92%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
953 picks · 653 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
657 picks · 465 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
573 picks · 922 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
550 picks · 439 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
531 picks · 529 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
516 picks · 340 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
494 picks · 1084 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
464 picks · 345 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Evil Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total57% Evil Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:31
Gaimin Gladiators 44%Evil Geniuses 56%
The model gave 56% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Evil Geniuses in 37:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAce
49% · 182 games50% · 86 games
Troll WarlordPakazs
Troll Warlord
Lifestealer
Lifestealerdyrachyo
54% · 63 games55% · 274 games
LeshracChris Luck
Leshrac
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
43% · 240 games43% · 317 games
Primal BeastWisper
Primal Beast
Rubick
RubicktOfu
47% · 325 games51% · 115 games
IoPanda
Io
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
54% · 117 games57% · 135 games
RikiMatthew
Riki
Game 2prediction missed30:6
Gaimin Gladiators 46%Evil Geniuses 54%
The model gave 54% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomAce
49% · 201 game50% · 195 games
Chaos KnightPakazs
Chaos Knight
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
39% · 178 games46% · 267 games
MarsWisper
Mars
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
46% · 351 game54% · 247 games
LeshracChris Luck
Leshrac
Disruptor
DisruptortOfu
52% · 234 games52% · 412 games
MiranaPanda
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSeleri
53% · 274 games59% · 117 games
RikiMatthew
Riki
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Geniuses · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2