DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Entityloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Shopify Rebellion
Undyingsignature
Fly · 21 game
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 19 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
Arteezy · 18 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
SabeRLight- · 16 games
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 16 games
Tinysignature
Cr1t- · 14 games
Primal Beastsignature
Abed · 13 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Fly · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
954 picks · 646 bans
Tiny
659 picks · 457 bans
Nature's Prophet
571 picks · 917 bans
Tusk
553 picks · 440 bans
Treant Protector
536 picks · 530 bans
Snapfire
510 picks · 339 bans
Death Prophet
491 picks · 1074 bans
Clockwerk
461 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 64%
Hero pool strength61% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:43
Entity 50%Shopify Rebellion 50%
The model gave 50% on Entity — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 55:44.
Game 2prediction missed20:25
Entity 50%Shopify Rebellion 50%
The model gave 50% on Entity — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 39:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 50%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2