DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
ex-HellRaisersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 32 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 22 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 21 game
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 20 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 17 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 15 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 15 games
ex-HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
954 picks · 646 bans
Tiny
659 picks · 457 bans
Nature's Prophet
571 picks · 917 bans
Tusk
553 picks · 440 bans
Treant Protector
536 picks · 530 bans
Snapfire
510 picks · 339 bans
Death Prophet
491 picks · 1074 bans
Clockwerk
461 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 67%
Hero pool strength60% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:32
Gaimin Gladiators 50%ex-HellRaisers 50%
The model gave 50% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by ex-HellRaisers in 35:39.
Game 2prediction correct31:12
Gaimin Gladiators 50%ex-HellRaisers 50%
The model gave 50% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2