?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 30 games
70%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 21 game
62%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 20 games
65%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 20 games
75%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 17 games
76%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 15 games
40%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 15 games
73%

Shopify Rebellion

Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 20 games
70%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 19 games
79%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Arteezy · 18 games
83%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SabeRLight- · 16 games
75%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 16 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Cr1t- · 14 games
79%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fly · 13 games
62%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
947 picks · 637 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
656 picks · 456 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
569 picks · 905 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
549 picks · 441 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
538 picks · 531 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
506 picks · 336 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
484 picks · 1070 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
459 picks · 341 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 66%
Hero pool strength51% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:9
Gaimin Gladiators 49%Shopify Rebellion 51%
The model gave 51% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetdyrachyo
52% · 263 games48% · 270 games
TerrorbladeArteezy
Terrorblade
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
51% · 303 games53% · 361 game
Primal BeastSabeRLight-
Primal Beast
Doom
DoomAce
51% · 187 games48% · 345 games
EnchantressFly
Enchantress
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
47% · 326 games54% · 517 games
ClockwerkCr1t-
Clockwerk
Rubick
RubicktOfu
45% · 414 games
Game 2prediction correct43:41
Gaimin Gladiators 49%Shopify Rebellion 51%
The model gave 51% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 57:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-Magedyrachyo
53% · 13 games61% · 45 games
Lone DruidArteezy
Lone Druid
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritQuinn
48% · 89 games58% · 107 games
VisageSabeRLight-
Visage
Doom
DoomAce
46% · 89 games43% · 65 games
Earth SpiritCr1t-
Earth Spirit
Rubick
RubicktOfu
44% · 223 games46% · 310 games
UndyingFly
Undying
Disruptor
DisruptorSeleri
56% · 113 games
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2