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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Balrogsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Mirana
Miranasignature
Nuages · 23 games
74%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Nuages · 18 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Oscar · 11 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 10 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
mini-` · 9 games
78%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Hyko · 8 games
63%

Balrogs

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Demon · 13 games
77%
Tusk
Tusk
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
drakesh1t · 8 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 8 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Demon · 7 games
29%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
ShakaLord · 6 games
67%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 6 games
83%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Demon · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
926 picks · 633 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
650 picks · 454 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
554 picks · 884 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
541 picks · 438 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
536 picks · 542 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
497 picks · 334 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
479 picks · 1046 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
453 picks · 327 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Balrogs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:5
Infamous 53%Balrogs 47%
The model gave 53% on Infamous — the game was taken by Balrogs in 19:54.
Game 2prediction missed28:11
Infamous 53%Balrogs 47%
The model gave 53% on Infamous — the game was taken by Balrogs in 35:37.
Game 3prediction missed5:40
Infamous 53%Balrogs 47%
The model gave 53% on Infamous — the game was taken by Balrogs in 33:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 53%
Series resultInfamous 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3