Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Monaspawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 17 games
Rubicksignature
Save- · 15 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
Tiny
Save- · 12 games
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 11 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
920 picks · 623 bans
Tiny
643 picks · 452 bans
Nature's Prophet
548 picks · 876 bans
Tusk
541 picks · 436 bans
Treant Protector
538 picks · 542 bans
Snapfire
491 picks · 332 bans
Death Prophet
472 picks · 1034 bans
Clockwerk
446 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 55%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:30
BETBOOM TEAM 74%Monaspa 26%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Monaspa in 36:27.
Game 2prediction missed16:38
BETBOOM TEAM 74%Monaspa 26%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Monaspa in 38:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 74%
Series resultMonaspa 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2