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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Sigma.YNTloss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Sorrywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Sigma.YNT

Tiny
Tiny
queezy · 24 games
58%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
VANSKOR · 17 games
47%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 14 games
43%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
v1olent- · 13 games
54%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
foryou · 12 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
kur0patbI4 · 11 games
82%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kur0patbI4 · 9 games
56%

No Sorry

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BLACKARXANGEL · 12 games
58%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
BLACKARXANGEL · 12 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 11 games
45%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 11 games
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dodren · 10 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
ArrOw · 9 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
Dodren · 9 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Blizzy · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
906 picks · 620 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
642 picks · 446 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
540 picks · 868 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
537 picks · 544 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 433 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
482 picks · 330 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
470 picks · 1013 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
441 picks · 316 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Sigma.YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Sigma.YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
Sigma.YNT 56%No Sorry 44%
The model gave 56% on Sigma.YNT — the game was taken by No Sorry in 42:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightDarkLord^
48% · 156 games50% · 149 games
UrsaDinozavrik
Ursa
Doom
Doomkur0patbI4
55% · 186 games56% · 265 games
PuckDodren
Puck
Windranger
Windrangerforyou
45% · 44 games45% · 374 games
Death ProphetDominic
Death Prophet
Rubick
Rubickqueezy
50% · 481 game48% · 66 games
Techiesy0nd
Techies
Disruptor
DisruptorVANSKOR
58% · 175 games42% · 188 games
Crystal MaidenBLACKARXANGEL
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed25:34
Sigma.YNT 54%No Sorry 46%
The model gave 54% on Sigma.YNT — the game was taken by No Sorry in 40:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkDarkLord^
47% · 65 games59% · 119 games
BloodseekerDinozavrik
Bloodseeker
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritforyou
44% · 276 games59% · 209 games
Monkey KingDodren
Monkey King
Lycan
Lycankur0patbI4
42% · 110 games51% · 338 games
BeastmasterDominic
Beastmaster
Rubick
Rubickqueezy
48% · 335 games55% · 91 game
Techiesy0nd
Techies
Enchantress
EnchantressVANSKOR
44% · 213 games51% · 242 games
Crystal MaidenBLACKARXANGEL
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteSigma.YNT · 59%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2