?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sexywin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Sexy

Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 6 games
83%
Lich
Lich
Hduo · 5 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
7jesu · 5 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moonlight · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moonlight · 4 games
75%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
7jesu · 4 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Moonlight · 3 games
33%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
7jesu · 2 games
100%

cybercats

Tiny
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 12 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 10 games
40%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
zenica · 9 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
forcemajor · 9 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Alberkaaa · 8 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
jesv · 7 games
43%
Mirana
Mirana
forcemajor · 7 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
902 picks · 619 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
641 picks · 445 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
539 picks · 864 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
537 picks · 544 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 433 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
482 picks · 329 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
469 picks · 1011 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
441 picks · 316 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Team Sexy
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Team Sexy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:17
Team Sexy 54%cybercats 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Sexy — the game was taken by Team Sexy in 33:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursa7jesu
52% · 113 games55% · 87 games
Naga SirenAlberkaaa
Naga Siren
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNefrit
51% · 238 games32% · 76 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Huskar
HuskarMoonlight
46% · 12 games53% · 121 game
Primal BeastDkFogas
Primal Beast
Lich
LichHduo
41% · 78 games50% · 139 games
Disruptorforcemajor
Disruptor
Monkey King
Monkey King9Class
56% · 147 games56% · 165 games
Enchantressjesv
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct22:23
Team Sexy 57%cybercats 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Sexy — the game was taken by Team Sexy in 35:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskar
HuskarMoonlight
52% · 14 games48% · 119 games
DoomDkFogas
Doom
Slark
Slark7jesu
52% · 115 games50% · 114 games
SniperChira JUNIOR
Sniper
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNefrit
56% · 292 games46% · 80 games
PudgeAlberkaaa
Pudge
Lich
LichHduo
49% · 61 game41% · 51 game
Jakiroforcemajor
Jakiro
Disruptor
Disruptor9Class
56% · 209 games45% · 327 games
Rubickjesv
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sexy · 56%
Series resultTeam Sexy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2