Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Limitloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Limit
Tusksignature
Yds · 20 games
Death Prophetsignature
Srf · 11 games
Silencer
Victoria · 9 games
Tinysignature
Yds · 9 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Victoria · 9 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Srf · 8 games
Rubick
cxk · 8 games
Doomoften banned
Srf · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
867 picks · 606 bans
Tiny
620 picks · 430 bans
Treant Protector
531 picks · 544 bans
Tusk
526 picks · 431 bans
Nature's Prophet
519 picks · 833 bans
Snapfire
463 picks · 324 bans
Death Prophet
460 picks · 964 bans
Clockwerk
417 picks · 302 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 41%
Hero pool strength56% Limit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:10
Invictus Gaming 77%Limit 23%
The model gave 77% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Limit in 24:22.
Game 2prediction missed42:3
Invictus Gaming 77%Limit 23%
The model gave 77% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Limit in 15:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 77%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2