Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Aster.Arieswin 2:0series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ybb Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aster.Aries
Phoenix
RedPanda · 10 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
White丶Album · 7 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 7 games
Tiny
TK · 7 games
Tusk
White丶Album · 7 games
Ursaoften banned
Ulu · 7 games
Rubick
TK · 6 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
RedPanda · 6 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
855 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
612 picks · 422 bans
Treant Protector
528 picks · 541 bans
Tusk
520 picks · 428 bans
Nature's Prophet
509 picks · 822 bans
Death Prophet
457 picks · 943 bans
Snapfire
457 picks · 315 bans
Clockwerk
406 picks · 293 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 71%
Hero pool strength54% Ybb Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:15
Aster.Aries 25%Ybb Gaming 75%
The model gave 75% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Aster.Aries in 42:56.
Game 2prediction missed40:12
Aster.Aries 25%Ybb Gaming 75%
The model gave 75% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Aster.Aries in 34:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 75%
Series resultAster.Aries 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2