Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Limitloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Limit
Tusksignature
Yds · 20 games
Death Prophetsignature
Srf · 10 games
Silencer
Victoria · 9 games
Tinysignature
Yds · 9 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Victoria · 9 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Srf · 8 games
Rubick
cxk · 8 games
Doomoften banned
Srf · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
835 picks · 582 bans
Tiny
601 picks · 416 bans
Treant Protector
521 picks · 540 bans
Tusk
514 picks · 422 bans
Nature's Prophet
493 picks · 801 bans
Death Prophet
445 picks · 923 bans
Snapfire
437 picks · 308 bans
Clockwerk
391 picks · 289 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Limit
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total80% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:4
Ybb Gaming 80%Limit 20%
The model gave 80% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Limit in 15:54.
Game 2prediction missed13:13
Ybb Gaming 80%Limit 20%
The model gave 80% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Limit in 18:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 80%
Series resultYbb Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2