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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 17 games
65%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 15 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
75%
Tiny
Tiny
Save- · 11 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
67%

Virtus.pro

Tiny
Tiny
sayuw · 22 games
36%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 16 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 15 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 14 games
57%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Xakoda · 13 games
62%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
krylat · 13 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 12 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
sayuw · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
825 picks · 578 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
599 picks · 410 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
522 picks · 547 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
514 picks · 418 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
484 picks · 788 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
436 picks · 900 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
430 picks · 305 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
382 picks · 287 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total68% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:10
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Virtus.pro 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingPure~
46% · 233 games54% · 128 games
Naga SirenKiritych
Naga Siren
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
54% · 217 games48% · 320 games
PangolierSquad1x
Pangolier
Broodmother
BroodmotherNightfall
48% · 195 games54% · 222 games
BeastmasterNoticed
Beastmaster
Pugna
PugnaSave-
43% · 109 games55% · 217 games
Miranasayuw
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 344 games49% · 211 games
UndyingFng
Undying
Game 2prediction correct33:17
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Virtus.pro 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaPure~
54% · 133 games43% · 131 game
Drow RangerKiritych
Drow Ranger
Tiny
TinygpK~
53% · 615 games43% · 364 games
Ember SpiritSquad1x
Ember Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNightfall
43% · 191 game50% · 119 games
TidehunterNoticed
Tidehunter
Pugna
PugnaSave-
53% · 121 game54% · 192 games
Enchantresssayuw
Enchantress
Disruptor
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
57% · 182 games49% · 436 games
ClockwerkFng
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 68%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2