Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Darksideloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Rubicksignature
Mira · 37 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 24 games
Tinysignature
Mira · 23 games
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 19 games
Undyingsignature
Miposhka · 19 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 18 games
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 18 games
Clockwerk
Miposhka · 17 games
Darkside
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
814 picks · 576 bans
Tiny
591 picks · 407 bans
Treant Protector
524 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
515 picks · 419 bans
Nature's Prophet
481 picks · 773 bans
Death Prophet
429 picks · 886 bans
Snapfire
427 picks · 306 bans
Clockwerk
374 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 25%
Hero pool strength60% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total96% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:7
Team Spirit 96%Darkside 4%
The model gave 96% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 19:12.
Game 2prediction correct42:25
Team Spirit 96%Darkside 4%
The model gave 96% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 52:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 96%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2