Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ybb Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
pLAnet · 13 games
Disruptorsignature
y` · 12 games
Tusk
pLAnet · 12 games
Tiny
XinQ · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
ELeVeN · 8 games
Enchantresssignature
y` · 8 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
812 picks · 574 bans
Tiny
590 picks · 404 bans
Treant Protector
523 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
513 picks · 419 bans
Nature's Prophet
480 picks · 772 bans
Death Prophet
426 picks · 884 bans
Snapfire
425 picks · 306 bans
Clockwerk
373 picks · 281 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 71%
Hero pool strength58% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:29
LGD Gaming 76%Ybb Gaming 24%
The model gave 76% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 50:06.
Game 2prediction correct36:19
LGD Gaming 76%Ybb Gaming 24%
The model gave 76% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 49:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 76%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2