Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Rubicksignature
fy · 13 games
Tusksignature
Frisk · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
Yang · 9 games
Morphlingsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
Primal Beastsignature
niu · 9 games
Death Prophetsignature
Setsu · 8 games
Earthshaker
Frisk · 8 games
Marssignature
niu · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
811 picks · 574 bans
Tiny
590 picks · 403 bans
Treant Protector
523 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
513 picks · 419 bans
Nature's Prophet
479 picks · 772 bans
Death Prophet
426 picks · 882 bans
Snapfire
425 picks · 306 bans
Clockwerk
372 picks · 281 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 67%
Hero pool strength59% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total71% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:3
Invictus Gaming 29%Vici Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 24:11.
Game 2prediction correct27:17
Invictus Gaming 29%Vici Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 71%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2