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PGL Wallachia Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 43 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 39 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 37 games
59%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 25 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 24 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 36 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
45%
Warlock
Warlock
Fly · 21 game
43%
Muerta
Muerta
Timado · 20 games
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 19 games
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
SabeRLight- · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 18 games
33%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Hellscream · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
629 picks · 618 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
508 picks · 413 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
474 picks · 406 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
430 picks · 451 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
417 picks · 269 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
409 picks · 189 bans
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
396 picks · 1050 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 855 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total77% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:15
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Virtus.pro 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyKiritych
47% · 244 games50% · 186 games
MuertaTimado
Muerta
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
46% · 231 game50% · 227 games
Void SpiritAbed
Void Spirit
Axe
AxeMieRo
45% · 139 games56% · 152 games
Primal BeastSabeRLight-
Primal Beast
Rubick
RubickSave-
47% · 89 games53% · 56 games
GrimstrokeHellscream
Grimstroke
Lich
LichKataomi
50% · 10 games58% · 92 games
Treant ProtectorFly
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct26:13
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Virtus.pro 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerKiritych
48% · 57 games50% · 151 game
MuertaTimado
Muerta
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
52% · 137 games52% · 153 games
Sand KingAbed
Sand King
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
42% · 210 games57% · 35 games
Night StalkerSabeRLight-
Night Stalker
Lich
LichKataomi
48% · 11 games57% · 101 game
ChenFly
Chen
Rubick
RubickSave-
46% · 78 games51% · 53 games
GrimstrokeHellscream
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 77%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2