Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
789 picks · 549 bans
Tiny
566 picks · 399 bans
Treant Protector
526 picks · 568 bans
Tusk
520 picks · 435 bans
Nature's Prophet
448 picks · 728 bans
Death Prophet
416 picks · 808 bans
Snapfire
404 picks · 293 bans
Ember Spirit
365 picks · 853 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total63% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:34
Invictus Gaming 37%Ybb Gaming 63%
The model gave 63% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 50:24.
Game 2prediction correct15:44
Invictus Gaming 37%Ybb Gaming 63%
The model gave 63% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 57:09.
Game 3prediction correct13:33
Invictus Gaming 37%Ybb Gaming 63%
The model gave 63% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 33:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 63%
Series resultYbb Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3