Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionSDSIN DPC!!!loss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
x5 Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SIN DPC!!!
No games played over 6 months.
x5 Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
788 picks · 533 bans
Tiny
560 picks · 404 bans
Tusk
537 picks · 438 bans
Treant Protector
530 picks · 573 bans
Nature's Prophet
430 picks · 706 bans
Snapfire
400 picks · 296 bans
Death Prophet
398 picks · 783 bans
Ember Spirit
367 picks · 831 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% SIN DPC!!!
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% x5 Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:35
SIN DPC!!! 46%x5 Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on x5 Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming in 23:50.
Game 2prediction correct8:39
SIN DPC!!! 46%x5 Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on x5 Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming in 20:58.
Model check result
Model favoritex5 Gaming · 54%
Series resultx5 Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2