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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. ЮВА. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
UD Vessuwanwin 2:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
InterActive Philippinesloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

UD Vessuwan

Rubick
Rubick
boombell · 9 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
boombell · 9 games
22%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
LionaX · 8 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
boombell · 7 games
0%
Mirana
Mirana
LionaX · 6 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Beebie · 6 games
17%
Tiny
Tiny
Beebie · 6 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Beebie · 5 games
40%

InterActive Philippines

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
786 picks · 535 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
561 picks · 404 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
545 picks · 443 bans
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
534 picks · 576 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
427 picks · 689 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
403 picks · 296 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
394 picks · 759 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
371 picks · 819 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:33
UD Vessuwan 36%InterActive Philippines 64%
The model gave 64% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 40:12.
Game 2prediction missed34:3
UD Vessuwan 36%InterActive Philippines 64%
The model gave 64% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 28:05.
Game 3prediction missed37:13
UD Vessuwan 36%InterActive Philippines 64%
The model gave 64% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 43:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 64%
Series resultUD Vessuwan 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3