Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionTETeam Electraloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TRocketwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Electra
No games played over 6 months.
TRocket
Broodmotheroften banned
Greedy · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
Pamplona · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Enchantress
Pamplona · 2 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
CarJua · 2 games
Rubick
Pamplona · 2 games
Underlordoften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Undyingoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
782 picks · 531 bans
Tiny
558 picks · 401 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 440 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 572 bans
Nature's Prophet
425 picks · 681 bans
Snapfire
400 picks · 294 bans
Death Prophet
389 picks · 753 bans
Ember Spirit
369 picks · 813 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% TRocket
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Electra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:38
Team Electra 60%TRocket 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Electra — the game was taken by TRocket in 28:04.
Game 2prediction missed27:43
Team Electra 60%TRocket 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Electra — the game was taken by TRocket in 39:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Electra · 60%
Series resultTRocket 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2