Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Северная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Empyrean Eaglesloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
JMJedi Mind Trickswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Empyrean Eagles
No games played over 6 months.
Jedi Mind Tricks
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
780 picks · 517 bans
Tiny
555 picks · 401 bans
Tusk
541 picks · 444 bans
Treant Protector
533 picks · 575 bans
Nature's Prophet
421 picks · 667 bans
Snapfire
401 picks · 288 bans
Death Prophet
387 picks · 730 bans
Ember Spirit
365 picks · 794 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Empyrean Eagles
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Empyrean Eagles
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:31
Empyrean Eagles 50%Jedi Mind Tricks 50%
The model gave 50% on Empyrean Eagles — the game was taken by Jedi Mind Tricks in 20:39.
Game 2prediction missed12:36
Empyrean Eagles 50%Jedi Mind Tricks 50%
The model gave 50% on Empyrean Eagles — the game was taken by Jedi Mind Tricks in 20:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteEmpyrean Eagles · 50%
Series resultJedi Mind Tricks 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2