European Pro League Season 36 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:2series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ilbirs eSportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 53 games
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 45 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 40 games
Tusk
ani-san · 37 games
Tiny
ani-san · 33 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Ilbirs eSports
Marsoften banned
Norma · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
egx · 6 games
Hoodwink
xsvampire · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Miyaoo · 4 games
Jakirooften banned
Undyne_ · 4 games
Primal Beast
Norma · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
rubikon155 · 4 games
Tiny
xsvampire · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
649 picks · 683 bans
Tiny
525 picks · 448 bans
Tusk
503 picks · 422 bans
Phoenix
447 picks · 443 bans
Warlock
435 picks · 287 bans
Shadow Demon
412 picks · 1112 bans
Puck
406 picks · 869 bans
Hoodwink
405 picks · 190 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 29%
Hero pool strength59% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rune Eaters 72%Ilbirs eSports 28%
The model gave 72% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Ilbirs eSports.
Game 2prediction missed
Rune Eaters 72%Ilbirs eSports 28%
The model gave 72% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Ilbirs eSports.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 72%
Series resultIlbirs eSports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2