?
arrow_backBack to match
BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoMaH Teamloss 1:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rostik Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoMaH Team

Jakiro
Jakiro
FrostNova · 2 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
FrostNova · 2 games
0%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Егор · 1 game
0%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Егор · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TpaBoMaH · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristleback
ChodΣX · 1 game
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Егор · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
ChodΣX · 1 game
0%

Rostik Team

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
488 picks · 293 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
351 picks · 148 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
348 picks · 157 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 467 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
297 picks · 299 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 457 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
280 picks · 259 bans
59%
Undying
Undying
270 picks · 364 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 29%
Hero pool strength56% Rostik Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct1:1
TpaBoMaH Team 49%Rostik Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 2:33:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinbyun
48% · 159 games47% · 255 games
Shadow FiendTA2000
Shadow Fiend
Snapfire
Snapfire9pasha
51% · 351 game45% · 243 games
Beastmasteregxrdemxn
Beastmaster
Enigma
EnigmaTpaBoMaH
60% · 93 games53% · 303 games
Storm Spiritrostislav_999
Storm Spirit
Tusk
Tusky0nd
53% · 383 games44% · 40 games
Ancient Apparitionyurapivo
Ancient Apparition
47% · 145 games
UndyingVlad
Undying
Game 2prediction missed
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Rostik Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team.
Game 3prediction correct
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Rostik Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 53%
Series resultRostik Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3