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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
YBN Teamloss 1:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NS Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YBN Team

Disruptor
Disruptor
Shishak · 3 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfire
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shishak · 2 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
dabex · 2 games
0%
Pudge
Pudge
kolya_kaBAN68 · 2 games
0%
Sand King
Sand King
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
50%

NS Team

Largo
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
25%
Windranger
Windranger
Otaker · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Stint · 3 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
good_mma · 3 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfire
good_mma · 3 games
33%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Otaker · 2 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commander
Sunlight · 2 games
0%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
Otaker · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
484 picks · 291 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
348 picks · 148 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
343 picks · 157 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 465 bans
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
295 picks · 298 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 457 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
276 picks · 259 bans
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
266 picks · 195 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% NS Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:36
YBN Team 57%NS Team 43%
The model gave 57% on YBN Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 44:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetnesfeer
47% · 85 games58% · 51 game
IoKudes
Io
Lycan
Lycantakizawa
49% · 42 games50% · 338 games
TinyLesn4ok
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritybicanoooobov
53% · 335 games48% · 59 games
Spirit BreakerNS
Spirit Breaker
Muerta
MuertaEARTHQ
47% · 172 games52% · 224 games
PhoenixFishman
Phoenix
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magibalod9l
46% · 38 games
Game 2prediction correct49:27
YBN Team 58%NS Team 42%
The model gave 58% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 40:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnertakizawa
54% · 187 games46% · 93 games
EarthshakerKudes
Earthshaker
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendnesfeer
51% · 183 games52% · 28 games
SpectreLesn4ok
Spectre
Pangolier
Pangolierybicanoooobov
50% · 134 games48% · 393 games
WindrangerNS
Windranger
Ringmaster
RingmasterEARTHQ
52% · 122 games50% · 154 games
LionFishman
Lion
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinbalod9l
48% · 42 games
Game 3prediction missed42:49
YBN Team 56%NS Team 44%
The model gave 56% on YBN Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 1:05:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Largo
Largotakizawa
58% · 93 games43% · 9 games
Vengeful SpiritLesn4ok
Vengeful Spirit
Clinkz
Clinkznesfeer
59% · 42 games45% · 206 games
UnderlordKudes
Underlord
Sand King
Sand Kingybicanoooobov
50% · 46 games49% · 34 games
ZeusNS
Zeus
Snapfire
SnapfireEARTHQ
53% · 116 games43% · 165 games
UndyingFishman
Undying
Clockwerk
Clockwerkbalod9l
55% · 117 games
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 61%
Series resultNS Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3