BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
avice Teamloss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Daxak Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
avice Team
Arc Warden
avice · 1 game
Dark Willow
ddeni · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
avice · 1 game
Grimstroke
rostikfacekid · 1 game
Jakiro
ddeni · 1 game
Luna
Koma` · 1 game
Rubick
rostikfacekid · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Koma` · 1 game
Daxak Team
Grimstroke
Groom · 4 games
Witch Doctor
r4dom1r · 4 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Unique · 3 games
Morphling
eccobladee2k · 3 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Daxak · 3 games
Pangolier
Unique · 3 games
Sand King
Daxak · 3 games
Dark Willow
Groom · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
487 picks · 291 bans
Mirana
355 picks · 152 bans
Dark Willow
354 picks · 159 bans
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 473 bans
Centaur Warrunner
301 picks · 300 bans
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 464 bans
Winter Wyvern
283 picks · 263 bans
Undying
269 picks · 365 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% Daxak Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total62% Daxak Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:40
avice Team 44%Daxak Team 56%
The model gave 56% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 36:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolierblindzone
Terrorbladeeccobladee2k
JuggernautKoma`
Death ProphetDaxak
Keeper of the Lightavice
Earthshakerya sulen
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
Ancient ApparitionWeeeNy
Disruptorddeni
TuskGroom
Game 2prediction correct16:44
avice Team 43%Daxak Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 44:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmotherblindzone
Templar Assassineccobladee2k
TinyKoma`
Centaur WarrunnerDaxak
Invokeravice
Linaya sulen
Techiesrostikfacekid
Skywrath MageGroom
Baneddeni
SilencerWeeeNy
Model check result
Model favoriteDaxak Team · 62%
Series resultDaxak Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2