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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NS Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Necrophos
Necrophossignature
Stray · 8 games
63%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 7 games
29%
Sniper
Sniper
Stray · 6 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Vovapain · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Goodoq · 4 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Vovapain · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
75%

NS Team

Windranger
Windranger
Otaker · 5 games
20%
Largo
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Stint · 3 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
good_mma · 3 games
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Dread · 3 games
0%
Pudge
Pudge
Otaker · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
good_mma · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
good_mma · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
489 picks · 292 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
368 picks · 160 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
358 picks · 158 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 481 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
305 picks · 302 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 471 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
289 picks · 270 bans
59%
Undying
Undying
268 picks · 369 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 39%
Hero pool strength58% Stray Team
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total55% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:55
Stray Team 53%NS Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Stray Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 1:00:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDkFogas
51% · 132 games52% · 56 games
MedusaLesn4ok
Medusa
Razor
Razorzvёzd
48% · 31 game54% · 160 games
Nature's ProphetKudes
Nature's Prophet
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinStray
52% · 30 games57% · 193 games
AxeDragneel_FH
Axe
Rubick
RubickVovapain
44% · 119 games44% · 36 games
ZeusNS
Zeus
Tusk
TuskАнатолий Злотников
50% · 232 games44% · 99 games
MiranaFishman
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct53:24
Stray Team 53%NS Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 42:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordzvёzd
43% · 37 games44% · 86 games
LunaLesn4ok
Luna
Windranger
WindrangerDkFogas
46% · 176 games50% · 44 games
Ogre MagiDragneel_FH
Ogre Magi
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainStray
47% · 141 game52% · 118 games
UndyingKudes
Undying
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionVovapain
59% · 31 game51% · 206 games
Shadow DemonNS
Shadow Demon
Snapfire
SnapfireАнатолий Злотников
50% · 252 games60% · 183 games
BaneFishman
Bane
Game 3prediction correct53:45
Stray Team 52%NS Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 48:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
Leshraczvёzd
51% · 93 games40% · 103 games
Dark SeerKudes
Dark Seer
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritStray
50% · 363 games51% · 113 games
Monkey KingDragneel_FH
Monkey King
Enigma
EnigmaDkFogas
53% · 75 games57% · 80 games
ClinkzLesn4ok
Clinkz
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterVovapain
58% · 51 game47% · 306 games
Centaur WarrunnerNS
Centaur Warrunner
Abaddon
AbaddonАнатолий Злотников
53% · 100 games46% · 80 games
Winter WyvernFishman
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 55%
Series resultStray Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3