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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 2:0
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Stray Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoMaH Team

Abaddon
Abaddon
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Егор · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakiro
FrostNova · 2 games
50%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfire
633 · 2 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
FrostNova · 2 games
0%
Warlock
Warlock
FrostNova · 2 games
50%

Stray Team

Necrophos
Necrophossignature
Stray · 8 games
63%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 7 games
29%
Tusk
Tusk
Vovapain · 7 games
57%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 6 games
33%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Stray · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Goodoq · 4 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Vovapain · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
496 picks · 296 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
375 picks · 168 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
368 picks · 161 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 484 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
308 picks · 308 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
297 picks · 277 bans
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
293 picks · 479 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
270 picks · 366 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Stray Team
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total54% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:21
TpaBoMaH Team 51%Stray Team 49%
The model gave 51% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-Magebyun
55% · 39 games51% · 75 games
Terrorbladezvёzd
Terrorblade
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker9pasha
52% · 160 games37% · 42 games
PudgeDkFogas
Pudge
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiTpaBoMaH
55% · 70 games48% · 191 game
Ember SpiritStray
Ember Spirit
Lion
Liony0nd
57% · 182 games49% · 140 games
RubickVovapain
Rubick
Dazzle
DazzleVasilisa
49% · 122 games45% · 125 games
WarlockАнатолий Злотников
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct45:28
TpaBoMaH Team 50%Stray Team 50%
The model gave 50% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 41:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangerbyun
47% · 250 games51% · 45 games
Svenzvёzd
Sven
Enigma
EnigmaTpaBoMaH
50% · 56 games61% · 18 games
SniperStray
Sniper
Night Stalker
Night Stalker9pasha
48% · 47 games45% · 91 game
EnchantressDkFogas
Enchantress
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorVasilisa
48% · 55 games55% · 177 games
JakiroАнатолий Злотников
Jakiro
Lich
Lichy0nd
51% · 54 games51% · 131 game
Winter WyvernVovapain
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 54%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2