Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Unity Esportswin 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
eSport Rhein-Neckarloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Unity Esports
No games played over 6 months.
eSport Rhein-Neckar
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
777 picks · 510 bans
Tiny
551 picks · 397 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 443 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 574 bans
Nature's Prophet
420 picks · 659 bans
Snapfire
400 picks · 287 bans
Death Prophet
387 picks · 722 bans
Ember Spirit
364 picks · 792 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Unity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% eSport Rhein-Neckar
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:33
Unity Esports 40%eSport Rhein-Neckar 60%
The model gave 60% on eSport Rhein-Neckar — the game was taken by Unity Esports in 32:45.
Game 2prediction missed10:24
Unity Esports 40%eSport Rhein-Neckar 60%
The model gave 60% on eSport Rhein-Neckar — the game was taken by Unity Esports in 16:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteeSport Rhein-Neckar · 60%
Series resultUnity Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2